Impressive Sunday Rain … Maybe A Repeat Next Weekend

Sunday, an approaching cold front helped trigger torrential downpours in the Baltimore area.

The map above shows a rain bullseye near the Dundalk area. Radar estimates at the center of the bullseye were at 4 or more inches of rain and localized flooding was prevalent.

Official rain totals at BWI-Marshall Airport were .99 inches as of 9:00pm. The Inner Harbor is on the edge of the bullseye an received 1.83 inches.

More tropical downpours are possible next weekend if Tropical Storm Irene follows predictions.

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THE FOLLOWING IS UPDATED INFORMATION AS OF MIDDAY MONDAY

Hurricane Irene is on her way to becoming a major storm.

Courtesy: NASA

The beautiful midday satellite image of Irene shows that the storm has yet to develop an eye as it passes just north of Puerto Rico. Interaction with Puerto Rico and Hispaniola may slow strengthening to some degree but Irene is expected to become a major storm with winds reaching 115 mph during the forecast period.

The late Monday morning forecast track is slightly farther east than previous forecasts but still dangerously close to the southeast U.S. coastline by the end of the week.

Longer range forecast models have also shifted the storm track eastward. The Mid Atlantic region is still a target though.

Source: WSI

The European forecast model (above) places the storm off the DELMARVA coast Sunday evening. the GFS forecast model (below) has Irene off the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay Sunday morning. Both computer forecast models are fairly close on the track of the storm with the GFS being slightly slower in forward speed.

Source: WSI

The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center of the National Weather Service positions the storm (see map below) just southwest of Cape Hatteras on Sunday morning.

It will be interesting to see what the forecast trends will be over the next couple of days.

Check back with wbaltv.com for the latest on Irene and tune in Tom and Tony for the latest updates on WBAL TV-11.

John Collins

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THE STORM INFORMATION BELOW WAS POSTED SUNDAY EVENING AND REMAINS FOR COMPARISON PURPOSES.

Irene was near Puerto Rico Sunday evening and tracking to the west-northwest.

Based on the current forecast, Irene is expected to be over Florida by the end of the week. Additionally, computer models are pretty consistent in taking the storm into the Mid Atlantic region next weekend.

National Weather Service forecasters have the remnant of the storm moving into the Carolinas on Sunday as shown on the map above. Theoretically the storm would then track along the warm front into Maryland by Monday.

Of course, all of this is a week away and a lot can happen to change the storms profile so check back from time to time this week and tune in Tom and Tony for updates on WBAL TV-11.

John Collins

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