TD 16 (Nicole?) Headed This Way?

The 5:00pm update from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) indicated Tropical Depression #16 has not yet reached tropical storm strength.  Maximum sustained winds are still around 35 mph and the satellite imagery indicates the storm is still disorganized.  In fact, to quote the NHC, “clearly, this is not a classical tropical cyclone”.  Still, the forecast is for some strengthening and TD #16 is expected to become Tropical Storm Nicole over the next 24 hours.

The forecast track takes the low pressure system north toward Miami and eventually near Wilmington, NC Thursday afternoon.  From there computer models bring the tropical moisture north into Virginia and Maryland with the potential for 3-5″ of rain along the path of the storm.  If the forecast verifies, Thursday could be very soggy around here with the possibility of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in parts of central and eastern Maryland.  Stay tuned to this blog for updates and check out our hurricane section.

Tom Tasselmyer

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One Response

  1. I remember Floyd in 1999………….shades of Floyd:)

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