Saturday Storm Update

Evidence continues to build that a nor’easter is developing and could hit the area with a significant snowfall by the start of the work week.

jc_latest

A large scale storm is developing in the southeastern U.S. and is the breeding ground for what are expected to be two storms that will move up the Atlantic coast this weekend.

The first will be the smaller scale of the two and will produce a wintry mix of precipitation Saturday night and early Sunday. Relatively light accumulations of snow or a snow/sleet combination are likely.

The second storm may pack a bigger punch.

jc_stormtrack

The timeline and estimated track of the storm is shown above.

Below is a detail of what the weather map may look like Sunday evening.

jc_sunevsfcmar1

As of midday Saturday the expected track of the storm will put the low pressure center just close enough to the Mid Atlantic coast to allow for the threat of a significant snowfall in the area. This forecast track still needs fine tuning. If it should move any farther east the threat of a heavy snow snow would be reduced.

The final phase of the storm is expected to pull away from the area on Monday. What will it leave behind?

jc_snoestfeb28

The computer estimate above shows that the area surrounding the upper reaches of the Bay could see 6 to 9 inches of snow. A couple of spots on the northern DELMARVA Peninsula might even approach a foot of snow. Keep in mind that this is an EARLY ESTIMATE. A lot could happen to change the course of the storm in the next 24 to 48 hours and significantly alter these numbers. Needless to say, stay tuned. We’ll keep you updated.

By the way, a couple of days ago I wrote in a blog something to the effect  that it wouldn’t hurt to get a couple of storms so we could catch up on some much needed precipitation. It just goes to show you that you need to watch what you ask for!

John Collins

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