Tropical Potential

Tropical Depression #10 never did reach tropical storm status and the next name in line, Jerry, remained unused. The disturbance moved on shore Friday between Pensacola, Florida as a squally storm with bands of strong thunderstorms. Rainfall totals were generally less than 3 inches. Tornado activity was reported.

A tropical disturbance out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean picked up the name Jerry on Sunday Morning. Jerry was initially tagged a “sub tropical storm” because the storm had not yet developed a “warm core” that is at the heart of tropical cyclones. Jerry was declared a full tropical storm Sunday night and is expected to stay out to sea, a danger only to shipping interests. (Monday update…Jerry downgraded to tropical depression)

Three other tropical features are being tracked. Two in the Atlantic are tropical waves that have some potential for development. A storm cluster over the Yucatan of Mexico is expected to move out over the southern Gulf of Mexico(Monday update…disturbance now in SW Gulf) where warm waters may help the storm develop into a tropical disturbance. The coming week may get interesting.

John Collins

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