21st Century Preakness Rain

There is a possiblity of some showers for the 132nd running of the Preakness this Saturday, but what else would you expect? The 21st century has produced just one “3rd Saturday in May” that did not have at least a trace of rain in Baltimore. Here’s the rundown of the observed weather for the first seven Preakness Saturdays since 2000:

2006: Hi 73 Lo 50 Rain: Trace
2005: Hi 74 Lo 41 Rain: 0
2004: Hi 87 Lo 65 Rain: .17″
2003: Hi 52 Lo 48 Rain: .06″
2002: Hi 62 Lo 47 Rain: .73″
2001: Hi 79 Lo 61 Rain: .10″
2000: Hi 56 Lo 54 Rain: .03″

For 5 of the 7 races the track at Pimlico has been rated “Fast” with the other 2 races (2003 and 2000), run on tracks rated “Good”.

So the average 21st century Preakness Saturday looks something like:

Mostly cloudy
Hi 69 Lo 52
Rain: .16″
Track: Fast

This Saturday’s weather will largely depend on the track of a storm off the coast and low pressure in the upper atmosphere. If the storm tracks close enough to the coast, or the upper low lingers over the mid Atlantic states, scattered showers will develop Saturday. Even without showers, gusty winds and cool temperatures appear likley. The early forecast includes northwest winds of 15-20 mph with temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s.

Tom Tasselmyer

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